Holiday Season Scheduling: Are You Ready for The Most Wonderful Time of the Year?

The Q4 holiday season is here, that time of year when the demands placed on the Workforce Management (WFM) team are the most challenging. One after another they come: Thanksgiving, Black Friday, Cyber Monday, Christmas, Hanukkah, Kwanzaa, and New Year’s Day, when contact centers must balance the extremes of what customers want and what agents want.

On our Wish List for this blog: specific planning considerations that can help your WFM team strike that essential balance and win the Q4 Holiday Season.

Your WFM Team (The Gift that keeps on giving)

Even the worst Grinch in a contact center has to acknowledge the pivotal role of the WFM team during the holiday season. Their expertise and problem-solving insights play a huge part in determining whether a contact center’s holidays are Happy and Bright or will become a Blue Christmas.

It’s not just about meeting customer demands; it’s also about ensuring that your agents have the flexibility to spend time with their families. You don’t need Winter Warlock magic to make both the customers and the agents happy— proper planning and communication can help make it work.

Let’s dive into four key categories that will guide you through the process: Forecasting, Scheduling, Technology, and Coordinating with other Departments.

Forecasting (Not all holidays are the same)

Forecasting is the foundation of a successful Q4 season. Review previous holiday volumes, shrinkages, and any changes in customer behavior during the season. In these times of change, compare data from multiple years to create a more accurate forecast. Remember that not all of the holidays have the same predictable impact.

Thanksgiving is normally easier to predict since it’s a Thursday, just as you know what days Black Friday and Cyber Monday fall on. However, the actual date of Thanksgiving changes, and if your industry has end-of-month sales, you may be looking at a Cyber Monday + EoM promotional environment. Christmas and New Year’s are also challenging to project with the floating days and the observed days that go along with them, impacting volume in different ways depending on the day of the week they fall on, and how it changes from year to year. The key is to consider how the holidays may be the same year-over-year, and how they may change based upon new promotions.

Scheduling (A spoonful of sugar helps the OT go down)

Effective communication is key when it comes to scheduling during the holiday season. Start by communicating your scheduling plan early and do it repeatedly to ensure everyone is on the same page. If your contact center is open on a holiday and the volume is lower, solicit volunteers among your agents to cover the base and then assign the remaining hours—usually these will fall on lowest-tenure agents, but remember to plan for higher shrinkage for the agents who didn’t volunteer.

If your center is closed on a holiday, consider moving employees normally scheduled to work on that day to one of their off days during the week. This approach allows you to utilize additional staffed hours without incurring overtime rates.

To account for higher volume post-Holiday, add hours to schedules on the days following.  For example, if you are closed on Monday, add 2 hours to agent schedules on Tuesday and 2 hours on Wednesday before or at the end of the shifts.  Yes, it’s like mandatory OT, but wrapping the extra hours in with Holiday Scheduling and explaining the reason why this is unavoidable are always helpful.

Emphasize to your stakeholders that a team effort is vital to navigating the Holiday Season, and a manageable amount of pain from everyone on the team will help to avoid an unbearable amount of OT piling up on a few unfortunate agents.  Also, make sure to take into consideration any state or labor/union restrictions when making changes.

It’s not a bad idea to maintain excess staffing to handle unexpected volume spikes. This allows you to offer Voluntary Time Off (VTO) as a way to manage workloads without resorting to overtime or scrambling at the last minute to force agents to work extra hours. If you haven’t already done it this year, consider conducting yearly holiday bids in the future to help distribute the burden of extra hours fairly among your agents. Rotate holiday assignments yearly to prevent employees from working the same holidays each year.

Technology (No fast busies!)

Collaboration with your Telecom and IT teams is crucial to ensure that your center has the capacity to handle the expected contact volume on peak days. If your center uses cloud-based SIP trunking that offers the elasticity needed to automatically handle spikes, that’s amazing, but make sure your infrastructure can handle the increased contact volume. A real example from one of the Call Design team members was a Monday after Thanksgiving where the contact center ran out of Citrix licenses and agents could not log in to take voice calls!

Prepare for high volume by incorporating messages in your IVR to notify customers of potential long hold times; this can also help deflect calls to other channels if available. Regular communication with your IT department can also help keep you aware of any IT technology freezes scheduled for the end of the year.

Also, be sure to take full advantage of the agent- and supervisor-facing functionality that your WFM software should offer: communicating the latest schedule changes to agents’ cell phones keeps them aware of any sudden changes the WFM Team has to make, even if the agents are not online. The ability to push out automated VOT/VTO offers at a moment’s notice is extremely helpful, and the ability to process these requests automatically allows the WFM Team to respond quickly, which is crucial during a sudden contact volume change.

Flexible shift bidding can help turn those 2-extra-hours-to-your-schedule additions from mandatory edicts (which are not only demoralizing, but also might accidentally be distributed unevenly, making some agents feel unfairly taken advantage of) to more voluntary experiences that allow agents who want extra hours to choose to apply for them when they are available.

Lastly, What-If forecasting capabilities are an extremely valuable tool to allow you make contingency plans for: the possibility of sudden volume or AHT changes and the benefits of deflecting calls to digital channels.

Coordinating (Sharing is caring)

Effective communication with other departments is vital. Be in sync with your Marketing team and help them understand the impact of volume-increasing marketing drops that are timed during high volume seasons. You should also coordinate with Training and HR to be sure they complete any required employee training before the holidays.

Identify and source available trained resources that can be on-call to support the contact center if needed. Supervisors, trainers, and back-office workers can serve as backup support for various types of customer contacts.

The airline and retail industries have highlighted the need to plan for yourself and your partners in advance of the holiday and sale season, especially if there are BPO partners involved. As well as ensuring forecast accuracy, there’s the need to ensure adequate staffing both internally and externally. BPO partners should be notified as early as possible about the staffing required from them so they can conduct appropriate hiring and training for additional demand.


Snow Miser Got You Down? Contact us!

Having lived through it ourselves, most of us here at Call Design know exactly how the WFM Team feels at this time of year. If you got coal in your WFM stocking this year, we’re here to help. Contact us if you need support facing the forecasting and scheduling challenges that come around in Q4.

-Amazing advice by Kary Horsley, with assistance from Ken Tse and Nathan Hollman. Rankin/Bass references by Shawn McCormick

Back-to-School: Forecasting 101 Mastering the Art of Predicting Contact Center Demand

As the summer sun sets and the back-to-school season approaches, it’s time to sharpen our pencils, gather our knowledge, and delve into the fundamentals of forecasting in the contact center world. Just like students preparing for a new academic year, contact center professionals must equip themselves with the essential techniques to predict future contacts with precision and finesse. Welcome to “Forecasting 101,” where we’ll guide you through the key concepts of forecasting and equip you with the tools to excel in this critical aspect of contact center operations.

You can also find additional tips in Laura’s blog on forecasting for back-office: Unleashing the Potential of Back-Office WFM: Mastering the Forecasting Challenge.

Introduction: Unraveling the Mystery of Forecasting

In the world of contact centers, forecasting plays a crucial role in predicting the future. It’s the process of using historical data and trends to anticipate the volume of incoming contacts, such as calls, chats, and emails. The insights gained from forecasting are instrumental in making informed decisions about staffing, capacity planning, and budgeting.

Let’s take a closer look at the different types of forecasts used in the contact center environment:

  1. Long-term forecast: Spanning from 6 months to 2+ years, this forecast provides a broader view of future contact volumes.
  2. Mid-range forecast: Covering 3 to 6 months, this forecast helps contact centers plan for the medium term.
  3. Short-term forecast: Encompassing one week to 3 months, this forecast focuses on immediate needs.
  4. Daily forecast: This forecast provides a daily snapshot of expected contact volumes.
  5. Intra-day or Interval level forecast: The most detailed forecast, it predicts contact volumes in smaller time increments.

In contact centers, different teams handle various forecasts—the Forecaster, Planner, and Scheduler each contribute their expertise to this complex process.

The Journey of Forecasting: From Data to Patterns

The first step in forecasting is collecting relevant historical data. This data, typically derived from the contact center’s ACD, SQL, PowerBI, or other reliable sources, should cover a timeframe of 1-3 years, if available. Metrics such as contacts handled, contacts abandoned, contacts offered, and average handle time are essential for accurate forecasting. Additional metrics like chat concurrency, IVR, web, or chat deflection rates add depth to the analysis.

Next comes the analysis of patterns in the data. Identifying seasonality, trends, and other significant patterns helps in refining the forecast. Removing outliers and normalizing days with extraordinary events, such as holidays or severe weather impacts, ensure the forecast’s accuracy.

Continuous Improvement: The Refinement Process

Forecasting is not a one-time task but an ongoing journey of improvement. By analyzing forecast errors and discrepancies, contact centers can enhance their forecasting models. Adjusting parameters and incorporating new data sources contribute to the accuracy of future forecasts. Consideration of upcoming marketing campaigns or events helps prepare for potential impacts on contact volumes.

Keeping a Watchful Eye: Monitoring and Adaptation

Once the forecast is set, it requires continuous monitoring and tracking. As new data becomes available, contact centers must update their forecasts to adapt to changing conditions and trends. Regularly reviewing forecast performance ensures it remains relevant and aligned with the contact center’s needs.

Unraveling Variance: The Detective Work

Sometimes, the forecast may not align with actual results, creating variance. In such cases, contact centers need to investigate the reasons behind the discrepancy. Is it due to marketing campaigns, changes in IVR or web pages, or other factors? Talking to frontline employees can provide valuable insights into the drivers behind the variance.

Side note: Check out our very own Nate chat about the importance of machine + human logic when it comes to forecasting in this quick video.

Understanding the Magic and Limitations

While forecasting is a powerful tool, it’s important to recognize its limitations. It’s not an exact science, and there will always be some degree of uncertainty. Contact centers should be aware of the assumptions and constraints of their forecasting models. Rather than seeking absolute predictions, forecasting is about making well-informed decisions based on available data.

Enroll with Call Design – Your Partner in Forecasting Excellence

Are you ready to ace the art of forecasting? As you embark on your journey to excellence, Call Design stands by your side as your partner in forecasting and Workforce Management (WFM) endeavors. Our team of seasoned experts is eager to guide you through the intricacies of forecasting, ensuring you are well-prepared for any challenges that lie ahead. As the back-to-school season commences, don’t miss the opportunity to elevate your contact center’s performance with stellar forecasting. Reach out to Call Design today, and let’s embark on a transformative journey together. With “Forecasting 101” under your belt, you’ll be well-prepared to navigate the path to success in your contact center’s future endeavors.

Kary Horsley